
Measured Optimism
Measured Optimism
Find out more in our Summer 2026 Commercial Real Estate Survey.
HOUSING UPDATES
HOUSING UPDATES
From the Federal government to the cities and counties of California, housing law and policy are evolving at a rapid pace.

Measured Optimism
Measured Optimism
Find out more in our Summer 2026 Commercial Real Estate Survey.
HOUSING UPDATES
HOUSING UPDATES
From the Federal government to the cities and counties of California, housing law and policy are evolving at a rapid pace.
NEWS & INSIGHTS
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The Summer 2026 Allen Matkins/UCLA Anderson Forecast California Commercial Real Estate Survey data finds that California’s commercial real estate market is stabilizing as developers adapt to a prolonged higher-rate environment. While financing costs, construction expenses and broader economic uncertainty continue to constrain new development, respondents remain optimistic about the long-term outlook for needs-based sectors, including multifamily, industrial and neighborhood-serving retail.
California’s housing shortage continues to present compelling development opportunities in the multifamily market. The Summer 2026 Forecast shows that 75% of Northern California respondents and 64% of Southern California respondents expect multifamily demand to outpace supply over the next three years.
Retail developers are increasingly concentrating investment on centers that serve everyday consumer needs rather than pursuing traditional large-format retail. Development activity is accelerating, with 75% of Northern California and 61% of Southern California respondents planning at least one new retail project in the next 12 months, up from 60% and 45% respectively in the Winter Forecast.
The industrial market is benefiting from one of the most diversified demand profiles in California commercial real estate. While 32% of respondents identified e-commerce as the primary driver of industrial demand, down from 45% in the Winter 2026 Forecast, developers increasingly cited logistics, advanced manufacturing, robotics and AI-related digital infrastructure as contributing to future growth.
California’s office market is gaining traction as leasing fundamentals strengthen across several major markets, particularly San Francisco, Silicon Valley, Orange County and San Diego. However, developers remain disciplined about introducing new supplies. Ninety-two percent of Northern California respondents and 81% of Southern California respondents reported no plans to begin a new office development over the next year.

From the Federal government to the cities and counties of California, housing law and policy are evolving at a rapid pace.
Here's what you need to know...

Real Smart delivers conversations with some of the most interesting and successful real estate industry participants. We dive into the industry's big trends and offer compelling career and leadership insights. Host Spencer B. Kallick is a real estate and land use partner at Allen Matkins.

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